STEPS

STatistical Education through Problem Solving:

Geography Abstracts



* Pennine Rainfall : A Visual Approach

Data are available on annual rainfall over 50 years at different locations across the Pennines. Students are invited to investigate the differences in the characteristics of daily rainfall in relation to altitude and longitude. This involves considering the accuracy of the data and handling different units of measurement. The raw data are simplified and presented graphically as histograms or stem and leaf plots. Animation is used to illustrate the construction of these, including the 'drag and drop' options for the student. Measures of location and dispersion are used to compare rainfall over the different sites.

* Human Migration

A set of survey data on migration within the United Kingdom is provided. Students are invited to investigate the movement of people in South Yorkshire with what is known about migration in the UK as a whole in the past year. They investigate the compatibility of data for South and West Yorkshire, both urban areas. They then investigate the compatibility of movement for these urban areas with the rest of Yorkshire and Humberside. This provides a comparison for rural and urban migration. Finally, data on people who have moved in the last five years are investigated for the same areas, searching for compatibility between rural and urban migration over this longer period. Statistical techniques include the distribution of a sample percentage (or proportion), normal approximations to this distribution, the distribution of the difference between two independent normal variates, confidence intervals for a single percentage (proportion) and the difference between two percentages (proportions).

* Rainfall and River Flow

We have about 18 months of data about daily mean river discharge in a river in North Wales. We have daily rainfall data for a nearby site for the same period. Investigate the effect of rainfall on stream discharge, the implications for hydropower, look at the seasonality of the stream discharge and use for prediction. The analysis uses cross correlation at different lags, time series and seasonality, following some more elementary data investigation.

* Predicting Rainfall

We have annual (mean) rainfall data for sites falling in a broad band across the South Pennines to follow up the simple four-site analysis of the problem module on 'Annual Rainfall'. Students look at the connection between rainfall and altitude across the region using regression of data from hundreds of sites; block the sites into regions to take out the east/west effect and lessen variability. They look for an east/west effect by standardising by height across the region?

* Pennine Rainfall : A Numerical Approach

This is a follow-up to problem 1 on 'Annual Rainfall'. A fuller investigation into rainfall at the four sites is made using means, medians, quartiles, box plots and standard deviations.

* Travel to Work

Data are provided from censuses and surveys of bus usage in South Yorkshire. How did deregulation affect bus usage? Before and after comparisons can be made to get answers to the question. Data come from the 1981 and 1991 censuses. The approach is based on hypothesis testing with an estimation of differences using confidence intervals.